Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? - Couverture rigide

Allison, Graham

Couverture rigide

ISBN 10 : 0544935276 ISBN 13 : 9780544935273

Editeur : Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2017

A propos du livre

Revue de presse :

“Graham Allison is one of the keenest observers of international affairs around.  He consistently brings his deep understanding of history’s currents to today’s most difficult challenges and makes our toughest foreign policy dilemmas accessible to experts and everyday citizens alike. That’s why I regularly sought his counsel both as a senator and as vice president.  In Destined for War, Allison lays out one of the defining challenges of our time—managing the critical relationship between China and the United States.” — JOE BIDEN, former Vice President of the United States “Can the US avoid confrontation with China? That is the geopolitical question of our age. In most cases, Thucydides was right: when a new power arises in the world, it results in a clash with the dominant power. This important and fascinating book extracts lessons for how we can avoid such a confrontation.”—WALTER ISAACSON, author of Steve Jobs and The Innovators “One of the most insightful and thought-provoking books I have ever read on the most important relationship in the world: the US and China. If Graham Allison is right—and I think he is—China and the US must heed the lessons in this superb study in order to build a strategic relationship that avoids a war which neither side would win.” — General (Ret.) DAVID PETRAEUS, Chairman of the KKR Global Institute, former Director of the CIA, and former Commander of US Central Command “Thucydides’s Trap identifies a cardinal challenge to world order: the impact of a rising power on a ruling power. I read the book with great interest. I can only hope that the US-China relationship becomes the fifth case to resolve itself peacefully, rather than the 13th to result in war.” — HENRY KISSINGER, former United States Secretary of State "A provocative thesis on one of today's most pressing foreign policy issues and a page turner of the first order, Destined For War is a must read.  Professor Allison writes with the propulsive narrative drive appropriate for such an immediate and danger fraught topic.  I can only hope that all senior policy experts read this timely book to prevent our country from falling into the trap Professor Allison so ably warns us against." — CHRISTOPHER REICH, bestselling author of Invasion of Privacy, The Patriots’ Club, and Numbered Account   “Do China and America want war? No. Might they be compelled into conflict by severe structural stress? Yes. Thankfully, Allison charts an essential course to avoid a catastrophic collision. Destined for War will be studied and debated for decades.” — KEVIN RUDD, former Prime Minister of Australia  

Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World "This short book [is] packed with intelligence and insight. If you are interested in the future of Asia, which means the future of the world, you've got to read this book."—Fareed Zakaria, CNN, "Book of the Week" "Helps expose, and explain, Beijing's hardball mind-set."—Time Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe "Allison's comprehensive but accessible treatment of this vital subject is a major contribution to public understanding."—New York Times Book Review "A rare dose of alarmism well informed ... Allison's explanation of the threat will enlighten nonexpert readers."—Boston Globe Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis “A classic...  [Essence of Decision] played an important role in expanding the theoretical debate among students of international relations in the 1970s, inspiring generations of scholarship on bureaucratic politics and American foreign policy.”—G. John Ikenberry, Foreign Affairs   “[A] classic... Allison presents his readers with three distinct models to analyze and interpret decisions that organizations adopt. He uses the Cuban missile crisis of October 1962 to illustrate how each approach, when applied to the episode, would emphasize different aspects of the situation and result in different interpretations of the decisions undertaken by the American and Soviet governments.”—Donald E. Lifton, The New York Times   “An impressive achievement."—Scott Sagan, Stanford University    

Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World "This short book [is] packed with intelligence and insight. If you are interested in the future of Asia, which means the future of the world, you've got to read this book."—Fareed Zakaria, CNN, "Book of the Week" "Helps expose, and explain, Beijing's hardball mind-set."—Time "[Asks] important questions ... Fascinating."—Reuters Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe "Allison's comprehensive but accessible treatment of this vital subject is a major contribution to public understanding."—New York Times Book Review "A rare dose of alarmism well informed ... Allison's explanation of the threat will enlighten nonexpert readers."—Boston Globe "Wonderfully informative ... Mak[es] one superbly literate in the frightening realities of its subject. If officials follow Allison's expert advice, we might happily make it back from 'when' to 'if.'"—Philadelphia Inquirer Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis “A classic...  [Essence of Decision] played an important role in expanding the theoretical debate among students of international relations in the 1970s, inspiring generations of scholarship on bureaucratic politics and American foreign policy.”—G. John Ikenberry, Foreign Affairs   “[A] classic... Allison presents his readers with three distinct models to analyze and interpret decisions that organizations adopt. He uses the Cuban missile crisis of October 1962 to illustrate how each approach, when applied to the episode, would emphasize different aspects of the situation and result in different interpretations of the decisions undertaken by the American and Soviet governments.”—Donald E. Lifton, The New York Times   “An impressive achievement."—Scott Sagan, Stanford University   “A page turner— the review of relevant literature is comprehensive, thoughtful, and original."—Diane Vaughan, Boston College   “A classic.”—Richard K. Betts, Columbia University  

Présentation de l'éditeur :

CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: “It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.” Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past — and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.

À propos de cette édition

• Éditeur: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
• Date d'édition: 2017
• ISBN 10: 0544935276
• ISBN 13: 9780544935273
• Reliure: Relié
• Nombre de pages: 384