Projecting Pyongyang: The Future of North Korea's Kim Jong Il Regime - Couverture souple

Scobell, Andrew

Couverture souple

ISBN 10 : 1288242093 ISBN 13 : 9781288242092

Editeur : BiblioBazaar, LLC, 2012

Synopsis

The author seeks to assist planners and decisionmakers in thinking about and preparing for possible future contingencies concerning North Korea. He does not dwell on war or conflict scenarios involving North Korea because military planners have already focused considerable effort and attention on these. It is entirely possible that the fate of the country as a political, territorial, and juridical entity is intimately bound up with the fate of the Kim Jong Il regime, but one should not assume this to be so. In other words, the collapse of the Kim regime may not lead to the collapse of North Korea as a state. Moreover, one should not assume that even if the regime collapse is followed by state collapse that these events would inexorably lead to Korean unification.

A propos du livre

Présentation de l'éditeur

Forecasting is a challenging business, and this is especially true when North Korea is the subject. A little more than a decade ago, the conventional wisdom was that the end of North Korea was imminent. The country was beset by a severe famine, its economy appeared to have collapsed, and the collapse of the regime seemed destined to follow. In 2008, the conventional wisdom views North Korea as rebounding from the crisis of the last decade and the regime as being on a firm footing. Many experts now scoff at the possibility of the demise of the Kim regime. Dr. Andrew Scobell's research cautions against wholeheartedly embracing conventional wisdom where North Korea is concerned. This monograph addresses the question of Pyongyang's future. Specifically, it explores the future of the regime of Kim Jong Il, constructs a number of scenarios, and then identifies the most plausible one.

Détails de l'édition

• Éditeur: BiblioBazaar, LLC
• Date d'édition: 2012
• ISBN 10: 1288242093
• ISBN 13: 9781288242092
• Reliure: Broché
• Langue: anglais
• Nombre de pages: 60
• Coordonnées du fabricant: non disponible