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Mr. Fisher has requested that an introduction be written to this, the second edition of his work on probabilities, which shall indicate some of the practical applications of the mathematical theory with which his treatise deals. The writer has only a limited knowledge of mathematical technique yet it has so happened that in twenty-five years of active work as engineer, statistician and executive he has had frequent occasion to call upon the skill of trained mathematicians for the solution of practical problems involving frequency curves and probabilities. A mong such mathematicians none has been more helpful, or quicker to perceive the possibility of making valuable applications of higher mathematics to business problems ,than Mr. Fisher himself. For this reason it is a duty as well as a privilege to outline, at his request, certain actual practical experiences with mathematical applications and to indicate such possible applications for the future. The writers initial experience with frequency curves and probabilities was in the years 1902 and 1903, when it became evident, in analyzing various problems in telephone traffic, that certainpeak loads, which were superimposed upon the normal seasonal, weekly, and daily fluctuations, could be accounted for only by the laws of chance. Recourse was, therefore, had to the formulae then available for approximate summations of the terms of the binomial expansion, and from these a series of curves was drawn which indicated for any given normal hourly traffic (as indicated by studies of seasonal, weekly, and daily variations) the probability that any given short period load would be equalled or exceeded.. Practical experience with these curves soon showed that, in spite of minor errors, they were close enough to the real facts to make them of primary importance in traffic studies of all kinds, and particularly in the de
(Typographical errors above are due to OCR software and don't occur in the book.)
This book was originally published prior to 1923, and represents a reproduction of an important historical work, maintaining the same format as the original work. While some publishers have opted to apply OCR (optical character recognition) technology to the process, we believe this leads to sub-optimal results (frequent typographical errors, strange characters and confusing formatting) and does not adequately preserve the historical character of the original artifact. We believe this work is culturally important in its original archival form. While we strive to adequately clean and digitally enhance the original work, there are occasionally instances where imperfections such as blurred or missing pages, poor pictures or errant marks may have been introduced due to either the quality of the original work or the scanning process itself. Despite these occasional imperfections, we have brought it back into print as part of our ongoing global book preservation commitment, providing customers with access to the best possible historical reprints. We appreciate your understanding of these occasional imperfections, and sincerely hope you enjoy seeing the book in a format as close as possible to that intended by the original publisher.
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Buch. Etat : Neu. Neuware - This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work.This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work.As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant. N° de réf. du vendeur 9781358489341
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