Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

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9781439809105: Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks

Bayesian networks are widely recognized as exciting and powerful technology for handling risk assessment. This book focuses on applications of Bayesian networks and practical model building using AgenaRisk, a powerful commercial software tool. The text includes real-life examples from the areas of operational risk, software risk, and reliability. Topics covered include probability tables, continuous variables, and decision-support systems. The authors introduce all the necessary probability and statistics and present the essential algorithms in an appendix.

Les informations fournies dans la section « Synopsis » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

Présentation de l'éditeur :

Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making.

  • Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models
  • Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more
  • Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed

The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models. Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently.

A dedicated website, www.BayesianRisk.com, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software.

Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

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Martin Neil; Norman Fenton
ISBN 10 : 1439809100 ISBN 13 : 9781439809105
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Norman Fenton, Martin Neil
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Description du livre CRC Press 2012-12-12, 2012. État : New. Brand new book, sourced directly from publisher. Dispatch time is 24-48 hours from our warehouse. Book will be sent in robust, secure packaging to ensure it reaches you securely. N° de réf. du libraire NU-GRD-04948436

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Description du livre Taylor Francis Inc, United States, 2012. Hardback. État : New. 265 x 185 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. * Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models * Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more * Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models.Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software. N° de réf. du libraire AAZ9781439809105

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Norman Fenton, Martin D. Neil
Edité par Taylor Francis Inc, United States (2012)
ISBN 10 : 1439809100 ISBN 13 : 9781439809105
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Description du livre Taylor Francis Inc, United States, 2012. Hardback. État : New. 265 x 185 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. Although many Bayesian Network (BN) applications are now in everyday use, BNs have not yet achieved mainstream penetration. Focusing on practical real-world problem solving and model building, as opposed to algorithms and theory, Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis with Bayesian Networks explains how to incorporate knowledge with data to develop and use (Bayesian) causal models of risk that provide powerful insights and better decision making. * Provides all tools necessary to build and run realistic Bayesian network models * Supplies extensive example models based on real risk assessment problems in a wide range of application domains provided; for example, finance, safety, systems reliability, law, and more * Introduces all necessary mathematics, probability, and statistics as needed The book first establishes the basics of probability, risk, and building and using BN models, then goes into the detailed applications. The underlying BN algorithms appear in appendices rather than the main text since there is no need to understand them to build and use BN models.Keeping the body of the text free of intimidating mathematics, the book provides pragmatic advice about model building to ensure models are built efficiently. A dedicated website, contains executable versions of all of the models described, exercises and worked solutions for all chapters, PowerPoint slides, numerous other resources, and a free downloadable copy of the AgenaRisk software. N° de réf. du libraire AAZ9781439809105

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Fenton, Norman
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Fenton, Norman
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Description du livre Taylor & Francis Group. État : Brand New. Dispatch Same Working Day, (Delivery 2-4 business days, Courier For Heavy/Expensive Items) Money Back Guarantee, Prompt Customer Service. N° de réf. du libraire 42709789

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Fenton, Norman; Neil, Martin D.
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Description du livre Taylor & Francis Inc, 2012. État : New. 2012. 0th Edition. Hardcover. Num Pages: 524 pages, 340 black & white illustrations, 76 black & white tables. BIC Classification: KJMD; UNC. Category: (UP) Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly. Dimension: 259 x 183 x 33. Weight in Grams: 1126. . . . . . . N° de réf. du libraire V9781439809105

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