Articles liés à Breakout Nations: In Pursuit of the Next Economic Miracles
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Présentation de l'éditeur
'The old rule of forecasting was to make as many forecasts as possible and publicise the ones you got right. The new rule is to forecast so far in the future, no one will know you got it wrong.' Ruchir Sharma does neither. In Breakout Nations he shows why the economic 'mania' of the twenty-first century, with its unshakeable faith in the power of emerging markets - especially China - to continue growing at the astoundingly rapid and uniform pace of the last decade, is wrong. The next economic success stories will not be where we think they are. In this provocative new book, Sharma analyses why the basic laws of economic gravity (such as the law of large numbers, which says that the richer you are the harder it is to grow your wealth at a rapid pace) are already pulling China, Russia, Brazil and other vast emerging markets back to earth. To understand which nations will thrive and which will falter in a world reshaped by slower growth, it is time to start looking at the emerging markets as individual cases. Sharma argues that we must abandon our current obsession with global macro trends and the fad for all-embracing theories. He offers instead a more discerning, nuanced view, identifying specific factors - economic, political, social - which will make for slow or fast growth. Spending much of his professional life travelling in these countries as Head of Emerging Markets at Morgan Stanley, Sharma is uniquely placed to present a first-hand insider's account of these new markets and the changes they are undergoing. As the years of unbelievably swift growth draw to their close, this book shows us how it is time for both investors and economists to halt their blind thrust towards an impossible future.
Revue de presse
In lucid prose Sharma overturns conventional wisdom, highlights new trends, and discovers new sources of growth. This is the most interesting book on the new economic landscape that I have read in years. (Fareed Zakaria )
A fascinating gallop through the countries at the edges of the developed world. Not only does he challenge the accepted wisdom - that China and India will motor on, ad infinitum - but he comes up with some surprising candidates for the next decade's economic stars. (Sunday Times )
This is a great road-map to the new and better-balanced world in which we will all live, and an encouraging one. (Independent )
This is a book of fascinating analyses which argues that the growth nations of the future will emerge from the margins of the world economy. It will tell you the price of a cocktail in Rio and bases one fruitful line of argument on the cost of a bedroom in the Four Seasons hotel chain around the world. (The Scotsman )
Breakout Nations works best as a compilation of highly illuminating country vignettes - similar, say, to Michael Lewis' Boomerang (2011) - rather than an overarching analysis. But this is hardly an affront. As with Mr. Lewis' work on the European crisis, for sheer readability and insight on the various parts of the ongoing developing world drama, [....] you won't find a better choice... (Jon Anderson, Wall Street Journal )
Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.
- ÉditeurAllen Lane
- Date d'édition2012
- ISBN 10 1846146747
- ISBN 13 9781846146749
- ReliureBroché
- Nombre de pages288
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