Multiple linear regression MOS for short-term wind power forecast - Couverture souple

Ranaboldo, Matteo

Couverture souple

ISBN 10 : 3659436046 ISBN 13 : 9783659436048

Editeur : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing, 2013

Synopsis

This study was carried out at Risø DTU (Denmark) during summer 2010 and was presented at the University of Barcelona (Spain) in July 2011 as the thesis of the Master in Meteorology. The main objective of this research work was to develop a statistical treatment to post-process Numerical Weather Predictions (NWP) outputs in order to improve short-term wind power forecasts. The proposed method is a Model Output Statistics (MOS) based on a multiple linear regression that screens the most relevant NWP forecast variables and selects best predictors, utilizing wind farm power output measurements as input. The proposed MOS performed well in the 2 studied wind farms. Its forecasts compare positively with actual operative model in use at Risø DTU and other MOS types, showing minimum BIAS and improving NWP power forecast of around 15% in terms of root mean square error.

A propos du livre

À propos de l?auteur

Matteo Ranaboldo is an Environmental Engineer from the Politecnico di Torino. He has obtained 2 Master degrees (Energy Engineering and Meteorology) by the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya and the Universitat de Barcelona. Recently his research has been focussing on the design of rural electrification projects through wind and solar energies.

Détails de l'édition

• Éditeur: LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
• Date d'édition: 2013
• Langue: anglais
• ISBN 10: 3659436046
• ISBN 13: 9783659436048
• Reliure: Broché
• Nombre de pages: 52
• Coordonnées du fabricant: non disponible
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