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China Macroeconomic Report 2014-2015: into the new normal. crucial period of China's macroeconomic(Chinese Edition)

ZHONG GUO REN MIN DA XUE JING JI YAN JIU SUO ZHU

ISBN 10: 7301266235 / ISBN 13: 9787301266236
Neuf(s) Etat : New Couverture souple
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Language:Chinese.Paperback. Pub Date: 2016-01-01 Pages: 340 Publisher: Peking University Press. 2014. China's macroeconomic fluctuations basically a continuation of the Ministry of the end of 2013. the situation of weak recovery. macro-economic climate situation is relatively stable. fluctuations in the bottoming the trend is more intense. Predicted that the annual GDP growth rate of 7.8%. CPI 2.7%. In the short term the economy. macroeconomic performance in 2014 China not only proclaimed the. N° de réf. du libraire CX001631

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Titre : China Macroeconomic Report 2014-2015: into ...

Reliure : paperback

Etat du livre :New

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刘元春主编的《中国宏观经济报告(2014-2015步入新常态攻坚期的中国宏观经济教育部哲学社会科学系列发展报告)》讲述,2014年是中国大改革与大调整拉开序幕的一年,也是中国宏观经济沿着"新常态"轨迹持续发展的一年。一方面,GDP增速等宏观参数在外需疲软、内需持续回落、房地产周期性调整以及深层次扭曲等力量的作用下持续回落,另一方面,经济结构在消费升级、不平衡逆转以及政策调整的作用下出现较大幅度的调整,结构参数的良性调整、总体价格水平的小幅回落以及就业状况的持续稳定给2014年相对低迷的宏观经济增加了一些亮色。 20l5年是中国大改革与大调整全面展开的一年,它将延续2014年中国宏观经济运行的逻辑,使"新常态"的典型特征进一步持续。但在改革力度的全面提升、房地产周期调整的进一步加大、经济低迷的进一步持续以及财务困境的进一步发展等因素的作用下,2015年中国宏观经济将面临六大挑战和变异点。这决定了2015年中国宏观经济必须在全面推进改革与调整的同时,加大底线管理的力度。 报告对常态情形下的参数进行假设,利用中国人民大学中国宏观经济分析与预测模型--CMAFM模型对2015年中国宏观经济指标进行了预测。预计2015年在常态情形下中国GDP增速将达到7.2%,CPI为2.7%,投资增速为12.3%,消费增速为11.8%,出口增速为5.6%。

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