noise flaw human judgment de kahneman daniel (189 résultats)

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Taschenbuch. Etat : Neu. Neuware - NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER From the Nobel Prize-winning author ofThinking, Fast and Slowandthe coauthor ofNudge,a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones'a tour de force" (New York Times). Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patientsor that two judges in the same courthouse givemarkedlydifferent sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firmmake different decisions aboutindistinguishable job applicantsor that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens toanswerthephone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the samecustomer service agentmakes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. InNoise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunsteinshowthedetrimental effects of noisein many fields, including medicine, law,economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection.Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet,most of the time, individuals and organizations alikeare unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds ofresearch-basedinsights that madeThinking, Fast and SlowandNudgegroundbreakingNew York Timesbestsellers,Noiseexplains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgmentand what we can do about it.

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Paperback / softback. Etat : New. New copy - Usually dispatched within 4 working days.

Hardcover. Etat : Near Fine. Etat de la jaquette : Near Fine. Published by William Collins in 2021, here is the 2nd hardback printing of Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Sibony and Cass R Sunstein's NOISE: A Flaw in Human Judgment. 454 pages, illustrations, black cloth binding, silver spine lettering the book and dust jacket are both in near fine condition. The book is heavy and therefore additional postage WILL be applied to areas OUTSIDE the UK as follows: Europe £5, rest of the World £7. UK postage is as always, exactly as quoted.

Etat : New. 001 edition NO-PA16APR2015-KAP.

Hardcover. Etat : Very Good. No Jacket. Former library book; May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 2.1.

Hardcover. Etat : Very Good. Etat de la jaquette : Very Good Dust Jacket. First Edition. 1st printing of 1st edition, with complete number line. Very good hardcover with DJ, from a personal collection (NOT ex-library). Binding is tight, sturdy, and square; boards and text also very good. Unclipped dust jacket looks nice. Ships same or next business day from Dinkytown in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

1st U.K. p/b ed. Paperback thick octavo, very good condition, minor edgewear. 454 pp. Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony and Cass R. Sunstein provide a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones. Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients - or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about similar job applicants. Now imagine they make different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. The detrimental effects of noise affects many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. The authors suggest noise audits among other innovative remedies. Kahneman is the Nobel Prize-winning author of the groundbreaking 'Thinking, Fast and Slow' and coauthor of 'Nudge'.

Etat : Good. Item in good condition and has highlighting/writing on text. Used texts may not contain supplemental items such as CDs, info-trac etc.

Paperback. Etat : NEW. International Edition, Brand New, ISBN and Cover same but contents similar to U.S. Edition, Printed in Black & White. End Chapter Exercises may differ. No CD/Access code. Legal to use despite any disclaimer, We ship to PO , APO and FPO adresses in U.S.A .Choose Expedited Shipping for FASTER DELIVERY.Customer Satisfaction Guaranteed 1.00.

First edition of this work by the Nobel Prize-winning author of Thinking, Fast and SlowÂand the co-author ofÂNudge,Âa revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments and how to make better onesâ""a tour de forceâ (New York Times). Octavo, original boards. Boldly signed by Daniel Kahneman on the front free endpaper. Fine in a fine dust jacket. Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patientsâ"or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicantsâ"or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgmentâ"and what we can do about it.