How can you
maximize success—and limit failure? Wall Street Journal reporter
Ben Cohen brilliantly investigates the mystery and science of streaks, from basketball to business.
"A feast
for anyone interested in the secrets of excellence." —Andre Agassi
For decades, statisticians,
social scientists, psychologists, and economists (among them Nobel Prize
winners) have spent massive amounts of precious time thinking about whether
streaks actually exist. After all, a substantial number of decisions that we
make in our everyday lives are quietly rooted in this one question: If
something happened before, will it happen again? Is there such a thing as being
in the zone? Can someone have a “hot hand”? Or is it simply a case of seeing
patterns in randomness? Or, if streaks are possible, where can they be found?
In The Hot Hand, Wall Street
Journal reporter Ben Cohen offers an unfailingly entertaining and
provocative investigation into these questions. He begins with how a $35,000
fine and a wild night in New York revived a debate about the existence of
streaks that was several generations in the making. We learn how the ability to
recognize and then bet against streaks turned a business school dropout named
David Booth into a billionaire, and how the subconscious nature of
streak-related bias can make the difference between life and death for asylum
seekers. We see how previously unrecognized streaks hidden amidst archival data
helped solve one of the most haunting mysteries of the twentieth century, the
disappearance of Raoul Wallenberg. Cohen also exposes how streak-related
incentives can be manipulated, from the five-syllable word that helped break
arcade profit records to an arc of black paint that allowed Stephen Curry to
transform from future junior high coach into the greatest three-point shooter
in NBA history. Crucially, Cohen also explores why false recognition of
nonexistent streaks can have cataclysmic results, particularly if you are a
sugar beet farmer or the sort of gambler who likes to switch to black on the
ninth spin of the roulette wheel.
Les informations fournies dans la section « Synopsis » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.
Ben Cohen writes the Science of Success column for The Wall Street Journal. He is also the author of The Hot Hand: The Mystery and Science of Streaks. He lives in New York with his wife and their two children.
Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.
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Paperback. Etat : Good. How can you maximize success--and limit failure? Wall Street Journal reporter Ben Cohen brilliantly investigates the mystery and science of streaks, from basketball to business. "A feast for anyone interested in the secrets of excellence." --Andre Agassi For decades, statisticians, social scientists, psychologists, and economists (among them Nobel Prize winners) have spent massive amounts of precious time thinking about whether streaks actually exist. After all, a substantial number of decisions that we make in our everyday lives are quietly rooted in this one question: If something happened before, will it happen again? Is there such a thing as being in the zone? Can someone have a "hot hand"? Or is it simply a case of seeing patterns in randomness? Or, if streaks are possible, where can they be found? In The Hot Hand, Wall Street Journal reporter Ben Cohen offers an unfailingly entertaining and provocative investigation into these questions. He begins with how a $35,000 fine and a wild night in New York revived a debate about the existence of streaks that was several generations in the making. We learn how the ability to recognize and then bet against streaks turned a business school dropout named David Booth into a billionaire, and how the subconscious nature of streak-related bias can make the difference between life and death for asylum seekers. We see how previously unrecognized streaks hidden amidst archival data helped solve one of the most haunting mysteries of the twentieth century, the disappearance of Raoul Wallenberg. Cohen also exposes how streak-related incentives can be manipulated, from the five-syllable word that helped break arcade profit records to an arc of black paint that allowed Stephen Curry to transform from future junior high coach into the greatest three-point shooter in NBA history. Crucially, Cohen also explores why false recognition of nonexistent streaks can have cataclysmic results, particularly if you are a sugar beet farmer or the sort of gambler who likes to switch to black on the ninth spin of the roulette wheel. N° de réf. du vendeur CIN0062820737G
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