The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

 
9780141034591: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

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Présentation de l'éditeur :

A condensed guide to life from the bestselling author of The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Bed of Procrustes is an invaluable collection of aphorisms navigate the modern world Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Only by accepting what we don't know, he shows, can we see the world as it really is. 'Happily provocative ... blistering ... his observations concern superiority, wealth, suckerdom, academia, modernity, technology and the all-purpose, ignorant "they" ... very quotable'
  The New York Times 'A master philosopher'
  The Times 'Taleb's crystalline nuggets of thought stand alone like esoteric poems'
  Financial Times 'Opinionated and witty ... It showcases his wit and learning, and provides ways to fillet his enemies'
  Independent on Sunday Nassim Nicholas Taleb spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet. A former trader, he is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University. He is the author of Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan, an international bestseller which has become an intellectual, social, and cultural touchstone.

Revue de presse :

Great fun … brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling ( Freakonomics)

An idiosyncratically brilliant new book ( Sunday Telegraph)

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected ( Guardian)

Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling ( Financial Times)

Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot ( Sunday Times)

In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point ( Time)

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1.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Edité par Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom (2008)
ISBN 10 : 0141034599 ISBN 13 : 9780141034591
Neuf(s) Paperback Quantité : 10
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Description du livre Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, 2008. Paperback. État : New. Trade Paperback.. 208 x 128 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. Nassim Nicholas Taleb s phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide.I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person. (Will Self, Independent on Sunday). He leaps like some superhero of the mind. (Boyd Tonkin, Independent). Funny, quirky and thought-provoking.confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot. (John Cornwell, Sunday Times). Idiosyncratically brilliant. (Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph). Great fun.brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling. (Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics). N° de réf. du libraire APG9780141034591

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Edité par Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom (2008)
ISBN 10 : 0141034599 ISBN 13 : 9780141034591
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Description du livre Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, 2008. Paperback. État : New. Trade Paperback.. 208 x 128 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. Nassim Nicholas Taleb s phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide.I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person. (Will Self, Independent on Sunday). He leaps like some superhero of the mind. (Boyd Tonkin, Independent). Funny, quirky and thought-provoking.confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot. (John Cornwell, Sunday Times). Idiosyncratically brilliant. (Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph). Great fun.brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling. (Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics). N° de réf. du libraire APG9780141034591

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Description du livre Penguin, 2008. État : New. 2008. Paperback. Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this book, the author distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Num Pages: 480 pages, Illustrations. BIC Classification: GPF. Category: (G) General (US: Trade). Dimension: 197 x 129 x 28. Weight in Grams: 352. . . . . . . N° de réf. du libraire V9780141034591

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Description du livre Penguin. État : New. 2008. Paperback. Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this book, the author distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Num Pages: 480 pages, Illustrations. BIC Classification: GPF. Category: (G) General (US: Trade). Dimension: 197 x 129 x 28. Weight in Grams: 352. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. N° de réf. du libraire V9780141034591

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Description du livre 2008. Paperback. État : New. 129mm x 198mm x 27mm. Paperback. Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of un.Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. 480 pages. 0.350. N° de réf. du libraire 9780141034591

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Description du livre Penguin. État : New. 0141034599 This is an International Edition. Brand New, Paperback, Delivery within 6-14 business days, Same Contents as U.S Edition, ISBN and Cover design may differ. Choose Expedited shipping for delivery within 4-7 business days. We do not ship to PO Box, APO,FPO Address. We may ship the books from multiple warehouses across the globe, including India depending upon the availability of inventory storage. Customer satisfaction guaranteed. N° de réf. du libraire IM9780141034591

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