More than half a decade after Arabs across the Middle East across the Middle East poured into the streets to demand change, hopes for democracy have disappeared in a maelstrom of violence and renewed state repression. In False Dawn, noted Middle East expert Steven A. Cook looks at the trajectory of events across the region from the initial uprising in Tunisia to the failed coup attempt in Turkey to explain why the Arab Spring uprisings did not succeed. Despite appearances, there were no true revolutions in the Middle East seven years ago: none of the affected societies underwent social revolutions, and the old structures of power were never eliminated. Even supposed successes like Tunisia still face significant barriers to democracy because of the continued strength of old regime players. Libya, the state that came closest to revolution, has fragmented into chaos, and Turkey's president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has undertaken a widespread crackdown on his opponents, reinforcing the Turkish leader's personal power.
After taking stock of how and why the uprisings failed to produce lasting change, Cook considers the role of the United States in the region. What Washington cannot do, Cook argues, is shape the politics of the Middle East going forward. While many in the policymaking community believe that the United States must "get the Middle East right," American influence is actually quite limited; the future of the region lies in the hands of the people who live there. Authoritative and powerfully argued, False Dawn is a major work on one of the most important historical events of the past quarter century.
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Steven A. Cook is Eni Enrico Mattei Senior Fellow for Middle East and Africa Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations and author of The Struggle for Egypt and Ruling but Not Governing.
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Etat : Bueno. : En 'Falso Amanecer', el experto en Oriente Medio, Steven A. Cook, ofrece un relato narrativo de los últimos cinco años, desde Turquía hasta Túnez, Yemen, Irak y Egipto, presentando un análisis teórico de por qué fracasó la Primavera Árabe. A pesar de las apariencias, no hubo verdaderas revoluciones en Oriente Medio hace siete años: ninguna de las sociedades afectadas experimentó revoluciones sociales y las viejas estructuras de poder nunca fueron eliminadas. Incluso los supuestos éxitos como Túnez todavía enfrentan importantes barreras para la democracia debido a la continua fortaleza de los antiguos actores del régimen. Libia, el estado que más se acercó a la revolución, se ha fragmentado en el caos, y el presidente de Turquía, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, ha emprendido una represión generalizada contra sus oponentes, reforzando el poder personal del líder turco. Cook considera el papel de Estados Unidos en la región, argumentando que Washington no puede moldear la política de Oriente Medio en el futuro, ya que el futuro de la región está en manos de las personas que viven allí. EAN: 9780190931759 Tipo: Libros Categoría: Historia Título: False Dawn Autor: Steven A. Cook Editorial: OUP USA Idioma: en Páginas: 360 Formato: tapa blanda. N° de réf. du vendeur Happ-2025-09-19-d9ea7774
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