Taking Chances: Winning With Probability - Couverture rigide

Haigh, John

Couverture rigide

ISBN 10 : 0198502923 ISBN 13 : 9780198502920

Editeur : Oxford University Press, 1999

Synopsis

What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse. Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us are ignorant of how probability works. This text presents an exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyzes a variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour.

A propos du livre

Présentation de l'éditeur

What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.

Revue de presse

Review from previous edition 'the volume is ideally suited for readers with virtually no training in mathematics, but who are curious about how actually to assess the odds of things like winning a single game at lawn tennis or on which hands in poker one should raise . . . This is a book to ponder, savour, study - and give to your mathematically illiterate friends' (The Times Higher Education Supplement)

'(an) impressively comprehensive new book on the wonders of probability' (The Sunday Telegraph)

Détails de l'édition

• Éditeur: Oxford University Press
• Date d'édition: 1999
• Langue: anglais
• ISBN 10: 0198502923
• ISBN 13: 9780198502920
• Reliure: Relié
• Numéro d'édition: 1
• Nombre de pages: 240
• Coordonnées du fabricant: non disponible
• Personne responsable: Ufficio Anagrafiche Messaggerie; ufficio.anagrafiche@meli.it; ; Via Verdi, 8; Assago Milano; 20090; Italie