Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions - Couverture rigide

Downey, Allen B.

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9780226822587: Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions

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ISBN 10 : 0226822583 ISBN 13 : 9780226822587

Editeur : University of Chicago Press, 2023

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�diteurUniversity of Chicago Press
Date d'�dition2023
ISBN 10 0226822583
ISBN 13 9780226822587
ReliureReli�
Nombre de pages256
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Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions [Hardcover] Downey, Allen B.

Downey, Allen B.

Edit� par University of Chicago Press (2023)

ISBN 10 : 0226822583 ISBN 13 : 9780226822587

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Probably Overthinking It : How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions

Downey, Allen B.

Edit� par University of Chicago Press (2023)

ISBN 10 : 0226822583 ISBN 13 : 9780226822587

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Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions (Hardback or Cased Book)

Downey, Allen B.

Edit� par University of Chicago Press 12/6/2023 (2023)

ISBN 10 : 0226822583 ISBN 13 : 9780226822587

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Description du livre Hardback or Cased Book. Etat : New. Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions 1.05. Book. N� de r�f. du vendeur BBS-9780226822587

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Probably Overthinking It: How to Use Data to Answer Questions, Avoid Statistical Traps, and Make Better Decisions

Downey, Allen B.

Edit� par University of Chicago Press (2023)

ISBN 10 : 0226822583 ISBN 13 : 9780226822587

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Probably Overthinking It (Hardcover)

Allen B. Downey

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Description du livre Hardcover. Etat : new. Hardcover. An essential guide to the ways data can improve decision making. Statistics are everywhere: in news reports, at the doctors office, and in every sort of forecast, from the stock market to the weather report. Blogger, teacher, and computer scientist Allen B. Downey knows well that we have both an innate ability to understand statistics and to be fooled by them. As he makes clear in this accessible introduction to statistical thinking, the stakes are big. Simple misunderstandings have led to incorrect patient prognoses, underestimated the likelihood of large earthquakes, hindered social justice efforts, and resulted in dubious policy decisions. There are right and wrong ways to look at numbers, and Downey will help you see which is which. Probably Overthinking It uses real data to delve into real examples with real consequences, drawing on cases from health campaigns, political beliefs, chess rankings, and more. He lays out common pitfallslike the base rate fallacy, length-biased sampling, and Simpsons paradoxand shines a light on what we learn when we interpret data correctly, and what goes wrong when we dont. Using data visualizations instead of equations, he builds understanding from the basics to help you recognize errorswhether in your own thinking or media reports. Even if you have never studied statisticsor if you have and forgot everything you learnedthis book will offer new insight into the methods and measurements that help us understand the world. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. N� de r�f. du vendeur 9780226822587

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