The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck - Couverture rigide

Livre 30 sur 33: Pelican Books

Spiegelhalter, David

 
9780241658628: The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Couverture rigide
ISBN 10 : 0241658624 ISBN 13 : 9780241658628
Editeur : Pelican, 2024

Synopsis

‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ Telegraph

From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty

We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?

David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.

In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.

Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

Les informations fournies dans la section « Synopsis » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

À propos de l?auteur

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 – 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.

Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

Éditeur
Pelican
Date d'édition
2024
Langue
anglais
ISBN 10 
0241658624
ISBN 13 
9780241658628
Reliure
Relié
Numéro d'édition
1
Nombre de pages
512
Coordonnées du fabricant
non disponible
Personne responsable
Buchpark GmbH
gpsr@buchpark.de

Krügerweg 1
Trebbin
Brandenburg
14959
Allemagne

Autres éditions populaires du même titre

9781324106111: The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

Edition présentée

ISBN 10 :  1324106115 ISBN 13 :  9781324106111
Editeur : W. W. Norton & Company, 2025
Couverture rigide