State-Space Models with Regime Switching: Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications - Couverture souple

Kim, Chang-Jin; Nelson, Charles R.

Couverture souple

ISBN 10 : 0262535505 ISBN 13 : 9780262535502

Editeur : MIT Press, 2017

Synopsis

Both state-space models and Markov switching models have been highly productive paths for empirical research in macroeconomics and finance. This book presents recent advances in econometric methods that make feasible the estimation of models that have both features. One approach, in the classical framework, approximates the likelihood function; the other, in the Bayesian framework, uses Gibbs-sampling to simulate posterior distributions from data.

The authors present numerous applications of these approaches in detail: decomposition of time series into trend and cycle, a new index of coincident economic indicators, approaches to modeling monetary policy uncertainty, Friedman's "plucking" model of recessions, the detection of turning points in the business cycle and the question of whether booms and recessions are duration-dependent, state-space models with heteroskedastic disturbances, fads and crashes in financial markets, long-run real exchange rates, and mean reversion in asset returns.

A propos du livre

À propos de l?auteur

Chang-Jin Kim is Bryan C. Cressey Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of Washington.

Charles Nelson is Ford and Louisa Van Voorhis Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of Washington.

Détails de l'édition

• Éditeur: MIT Press
• Date d'édition: 2017
• Langue: anglais
• ISBN 10: 0262535505
• ISBN 13: 9780262535502
• Reliure: Broché
• Nombre de pages: 311
• Coordonnées du fabricant: non disponible