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9780309115681: Review Of CCSP Draft Synthesis And Assessment Product 5.3: Decison- Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data
Couverture souple
ISBN 10 : 030911568X ISBN 13 : 9780309115681
Editeur : National Academies Press, 2008

Synopsis

This study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions: that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts.

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À propos de l'auteur

Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data, National Research Council

Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

Éditeur
National Academies Press
Date d'édition
2008
Langue
anglais
ISBN 10 
030911568X
ISBN 13 
9780309115681
Reliure
Broché
Nombre de pages
56
Coordonnées du fabricant
non disponible
Personne responsable
non disponible