Leading Economic Indicators: New Approaches and Forecasting Records - Couverture rigide

 
9780521371551: Leading Economic Indicators: New Approaches and Forecasting Records

Synopsis

Twenty-two articles by international experts on business cycles and economic indicators.

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Présentation de l'éditeur

Developed fifty years ago by the National Bureau of Economic Research, the analytic methods of business cycles and economic indicators enable economists to forecast economic trends by examining the repetitive sequences that occur in business cycles. The methodology has proven to be an inexpensive and useful tool that is now used extensively throughout the world. In recent years, however, significant new developments have emerged in the field of business cycles and economic indicators. This volume contains twenty-two articles by international experts who are working with new and innovative approaches to indicator research. They cover advances in three broad areas of research: the use of new developments in economic theory and time-series analysis to rationalise existing systems of indicators; more appropriate methods to evaluate the forecasting records of leading indicators, particularly of turning point probability; and the development of new indicators.

Revue de presse

"The different chapters of this book provide a cross section of recent researches and developments in the field of business cycles and forecasting. The book is likely to be of interest for forecasters in government and business as well as for researchers in economics, business management, econometrics and statistics." R.K. Mathur, Journal of Educational Planning and Administration

"...an excellent review of the current state of research into leading indicators. While the evidence presented concerns the US economy (with the exception of a couple of papers on Australia), the message that surveys and patterns in data can help in forecasting, has a much wider application and needs to be taken seriously by economic modellers." Kenneth Holden, International Journal of Forecasting

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Autres éditions populaires du même titre

9780521438582: Leading Economic Indicators

Edition présentée

ISBN 10 :  0521438586 ISBN 13 :  9780521438582
Editeur : Cambridge University Press, 2008
Couverture souple