Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective - Couverture rigide
Synopsis
Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.
In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective
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Springer, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
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Hardcover. Etat : Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.6. N° de réf. du vendeur G0792368339I3N00
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
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Springer Netherlands Feb 2001, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
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Buch. Etat : Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. 338 pp. Englisch. N° de réf. du vendeur 9780792368335
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Edité par
Springer Netherlands, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
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Gebunden. Etat : New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of fore. N° de réf. du vendeur 5969717
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries | Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective
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Springer Netherland, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
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Buch. Etat : Neu. Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries | Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective | E. Tabeau (u. a.) | Buch | xxviii | Englisch | 2001 | Springer Netherland | EAN 9780792368335 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg, juergen[dot]hartmann[at]springer[dot]com | Anbieter: preigu Print on Demand. N° de réf. du vendeur 102563168
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
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Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
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Etat : New. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. This volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. Editor(s): Tabeau, Ewa; Berg Jeths, Anneke van den; Heathcote, C.R. Series: European Studies of Population. Num Pages: 306 pages, biography. BIC Classification: 1DD; 1QFH; JHBD. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (UP) Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly; (UU) Undergraduate. Dimension: 244 x 166 x 25. Weight in Grams: 618. . 2001. Hardback. . . . . N° de réf. du vendeur V9780792368335
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Edité par
Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands Feb 2001, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
Vendeur : buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Allemagne
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Buch. Etat : Neu. Neuware -Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 338 pp. Englisch. N° de réf. du vendeur 9780792368335
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries : Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective
Edité par
Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
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Buch. Etat : Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. N° de réf. du vendeur 9780792368335
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