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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective - Couverture rigide
Synopsis
Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.
In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective
Edité par
Springer, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Ancien ou d'occasion
Couverture rigide
Vendeur : ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, Etats-Unis
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Hardcover. Etat : Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.6. N° de réf. du vendeur G0792368339I3N00
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries (Hardcover)
Edité par
Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
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Hardcover. Etat : new. Hardcover. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realizing the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence.The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. N° de réf. du vendeur 9780792368335
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective (European Studies of Population, 9)
Vendeur : Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, Royaume-Uni
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
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Springer Netherlands Feb 2001, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
Vendeur : BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, Allemagne
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Buch. Etat : Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality. 338 pp. Englisch. N° de réf. du vendeur 9780792368335
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Edité par
Springer Netherlands, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
Vendeur : moluna, Greven, Allemagne
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Gebunden. Etat : New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of fore. N° de réf. du vendeur 5969717
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Vendeur : Books Puddle, New York, NY, Etats-Unis
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Etat : New. pp. 340. N° de réf. du vendeur 26318810
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Edité par
Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands Feb 2001, 2001
ISBN 10 : 0792368339
ISBN 13 : 9780792368335
Neuf
Couverture rigide
Vendeur : buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Allemagne
Évaluation du vendeur 5 sur 5 étoiles
Buch. Etat : Neu. Neuware -Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 338 pp. Englisch. N° de réf. du vendeur 9780792368335
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
impression à la demandeVendeur : Majestic Books, Hounslow, Royaume-Uni
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Etat : New. Print on Demand pp. 340 Illus. N° de réf. du vendeur 7561861
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Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
impression à la demandeVendeur : Biblios, Frankfurt am main, HESSE, Allemagne
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Etat : New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 340. N° de réf. du vendeur 18318800
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