Patterns of War Termination - Couverture souple

Robinson, Paul D

Couverture souple

ISBN 10 : 1025087801 ISBN 13 : 9781025087801

Editeur : Hutson Street Press, 2025

Synopsis

This research uses an advanced statistical technique to expand upon the current understanding of war termination. Specifically, this thesis addressed questions concerning the most relevant factors toward predicting both the outcomes of interstate wars and the winners of intrastate and extra-systemic wars, within the limitations of the available data. Open-source war data from the Correlates of War Project was analyzed using both binary and multinomial logistic regression techniques. While the Correlates of War Project did not necessarily focus its data collection efforts on those variables historically associated with war termination, it did provide a sufficient number of variables with which to demonstrate the applicability of logistic regression techniques to war termination analyses. As a consequence, every significant logistic regression model contains a single relevant variable. For both intrastate and extra-systemic wars, the duration of the conflict was found to be most relevant to predicting the winner. In contrast, the proportion of total casualties borne by a nation in an interstate war was most relevant to predicting the manner in which an interstate war ends. Conclusions drawn from this research and suggestions for future statistical applications to war termination studies were also discussed.

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Détails de l'édition

• Éditeur: Hutson Street Press
• Date d'édition: 2025
• Langue: anglais
• ISBN 10: 1025087801
• ISBN 13: 9781025087801
• Reliure: Broché
• Nombre de pages: 152
• Coordonnées du fabricant: non disponible
• Personne responsable: non disponible