Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve - Couverture souple

Musso, Alberto; Stracca, Livio

 
9781249557579: Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve

Synopsis

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the functional form of the euro-area Phillips curve over the past three decades. In particular, compared with previous literature, we analyze the stability of the relationship in detail, especially as regards the possibility of a time-varying mean of inflation. Moreover, we conduct a sensitivity analysis across different measures of economic slack. Our main findings are two. First, there is strong evidence of time variation in the mean and slope of the Phillips curve occurring in the early to mid-1980s, but not in inflation persistence once the mean shift is allowed for. As a result of the structural change, the Phillips curve became flatter around a lower mean of inflation. Second, we find no significant evidence of nonlinearity - in particular, in relation to the output gap.

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Autres éditions populaires du même titre

9781298045324: Instability and Nonlinearity in the Euro-Area Phillips Curve

Edition présentée

ISBN 10 :  1298045320 ISBN 13 :  9781298045324
Editeur : Scholar's Choice, 2015
Couverture souple