After years of unsuccessful post-Cold War efforts to forge a cooperative relationship, it is now clear that the U.S. and Russia have become competitors, not partners - no matter what some politicians would have the American public believe. And this competition is quickly spiraling into enmity thanks to new strategic weapons, shifts in world power, and unsettled regional conflicts. Meanwhile, the rules that kept the Cold War from getting hot no longer apply. The inherent advantages of cyber attackers over cyber defense are incentivising aggression and fueling feelings of vulnerability. And the arms control regimes and deterrence strategies that once contained dangers are ironically stoking mistrust between the U.S. and Russia. Americans don’t worry about nuclear war the way they did thirty years ago. But they should because the danger has become even greater today. Beebe's terrifying but essential new work allows us to face this reality - and, in doing so, to take steps to divert the world from this path.
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George Beebe is Director for Intelligence and National Security at the Center for the National Interest. He spent more than two decades in government service as an intelligence analyst, diplomat, and policy advisor, including service as director of CIA's Russia analysis and as Special Advisor to Vice President Cheney for Russia/Eurasia and Intelligence Programs. He was inducted into the Senior Intelligence Service in 2006. He lives in Washington, DC.
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