Excerpt from The Reliability of Subjective Probabilities: Obtained Through Decomposition
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 describes the decomposition approach. Section 3 describes the psychometric model that is used to evaluate the elicitations. Section 4 utilizes that model to derive results on the relative reliability of decomposition and direct assessment. Section 5 extends those results while relaxing certain restrictive assumptions of the original model. Finally, section 6 discusses the implications of these results for the practice of probability encoding.
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Paperback. Etat : New. Print on Demand. This book examines the psychological factors that influence human judgment and explores the methods used to improve the accuracy and consistency of subjective probability encoding. It is of particular relevance to decision-makers, risk analysts, and psychologists alike, presenting a framework for understanding and evaluating different probability assessment techniques. The author proposes decomposition as a potentially effective approach for reducing inconsistency and provides a detailed analysis of its benefits and limitations. Through a psychometric measurement perspective, the book examines the reliability of decomposition and direct assessment of probabilities, offering recommendations on how to utilize decomposition for error control. By investigating the impact of decomposition on the reliability of probability assessments, this book advances the understanding of probability encoding processes and contributes to the improvement of decision-making practices. This book is a reproduction of an important historical work, digitally reconstructed using state-of-the-art technology to preserve the original format. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in the book. print-on-demand item. N° de réf. du vendeur 9781330279649_0
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Vendeur : PBShop.store UK, Fairford, GLOS, Royaume-Uni
PAP. Etat : New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000. N° de réf. du vendeur LW-9781330279649
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