A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities (Classic Reprint) - Couverture souple

Balmes, Rev. Luciano

 
9781440049477: A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities (Classic Reprint)

Synopsis

How probability shapes what we can know and how we decide A philosophical look at how chance influences everyday life and the quest for truth, grounded in clear ideas rather than heavy math.

This essay presents the core principles of probability and shows how they apply to important questions of life. It argues that much of what we think we know rests on inference, analogy, and the careful weighing of evidence. By connecting everyday reasoning to broader scientific ideas, it offers practical guidance for careful thinking and cautious judgment.


  • See how ignorance and knowledge together shape probability, and why certainty is not always possible.

  • Learn to evaluate evidence, including testimonies, using structured rules instead of guesswork.

  • Explore simple thought experiments with urns and draws that illustrate how probabilities are computed.

  • Understand why extraordinary claims require stronger support, and how common sense and calculation work together.



Ideal for readers curious about philosophy, statistics, and the foundations of scientific reasoning, this edition helps you think more clearly about uncertainty and decision making.

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Présentation de l'éditeur

This philosophical essay is the development of a lecture on probabilities which I dehvered in 1795 to the normal schools whither I had been called, by a decree of the national convention, as professor of mathematics with Lagrange. I have recently published upon the same subject a work entitled The Analytical Theory of Probabilities. I present here without the aid of analysis the principles and general results of this theory, applying them to the most important questions of life, which are indeed for the most part only problems of probability.
(Typographical errors above are due to OCR software and don't occur in the book.)

About the Publisher

Forgotten Books is a publisher of historical writings, such as: Philosophy, Classics, Science, Religion, History, Folklore and Mythology.

Forgotten Books' Classic Reprint Series utilizes the latest technology to regenerate facsimiles of historically important writings. Careful attention has been made to accurately preserve the original format of each page whilst digitally enhancing the aged text. Read books online for free at www.forgottenbooks.org

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