The book discusses the reasons for apparent unpredictability of authoritarian regimes in the post-Soviet Eurasia. Looking at three highly relevant empirical cases, it identifies causes of this unpredictability and its implications for research.
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Alexander Libman is professor of Russian and East European politics at the Freie Universität Berlin. Prior to that, he worked as professor of social sciences and East European studies at the Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich. His research interests focus on comparative authoritarian development in the post-Soviet Eurasia. His work appeared, among others, in the American Political Science Review, World Politics, British Journal of Political Science, Comparative Political Studies and Perspectives on Politics.
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Hardcover. Etat : new. Hardcover. Post-Soviet Eurasia continues to puzzle observers, defying expectations of experts. Most Russia watchers failed to predict the full-scale invasion against Ukraine in 2022, and this failure triggered intensive debates and multiple rounds of self-reflection. Random Dictatorships: Unpredictability of Authoritarian Politics in Eurasia argues that the supposedly unexpected turns of Eurasian politics are a manifestation of a deeper phenomenon researchers limited ability to predict the policymaking in authoritarian regimes in general. Alexander Libman identifies three main factors making authoritarian politics difficult to predict: mistakes of authoritarian leaders, untransparent competition of elite factions, and omnipresent secrecy cultivated by autocrats. While scholars oscillate between two visions of authoritarian regimes their presentation as highly rational and capable to adapt and as highly inefficient and doomed to poor performance Libman suggests that many autocracies alternate between these two extremes in a difficult-to-predict fashion. The book explores three important cases from the post-Soviet Eurasia, when autocracies of this region defied expectations of external observers Russias annexation of Crimea in 2014, the Bloody January in Kazakhstan in 2022 and Russias invasion of Ukraine in 2022. It discusses the reasons for the apparent unpredictability of autocracies in each of these cases, and identifies implications for how authoritarian regimes should be studied. The book discusses the reasons for apparent unpredictability of authoritarian regimes in the post-Soviet Eurasia. Looking at three highly relevant empirical cases, it identifies causes of this unpredictability and its implications for research. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. N° de réf. du vendeur 9781666960556
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Hardcover. Etat : new. Hardcover. Post-Soviet Eurasia continues to puzzle observers, defying expectations of experts. Most Russia watchers failed to predict the full-scale invasion against Ukraine in 2022, and this failure triggered intensive debates and multiple rounds of self-reflection. Random Dictatorships: Unpredictability of Authoritarian Politics in Eurasia argues that the supposedly unexpected turns of Eurasian politics are a manifestation of a deeper phenomenon researchers limited ability to predict the policymaking in authoritarian regimes in general. Alexander Libman identifies three main factors making authoritarian politics difficult to predict: mistakes of authoritarian leaders, untransparent competition of elite factions, and omnipresent secrecy cultivated by autocrats. While scholars oscillate between two visions of authoritarian regimes their presentation as highly rational and capable to adapt and as highly inefficient and doomed to poor performance Libman suggests that many autocracies alternate between these two extremes in a difficult-to-predict fashion. The book explores three important cases from the post-Soviet Eurasia, when autocracies of this region defied expectations of external observers Russias annexation of Crimea in 2014, the Bloody January in Kazakhstan in 2022 and Russias invasion of Ukraine in 2022. It discusses the reasons for the apparent unpredictability of autocracies in each of these cases, and identifies implications for how authoritarian regimes should be studied. The book discusses the reasons for apparent unpredictability of authoritarian regimes in the post-Soviet Eurasia. Looking at three highly relevant empirical cases, it identifies causes of this unpredictability and its implications for research. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability. N° de réf. du vendeur 9781666960556
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