How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everybody - Couverture souple

Poundstone, William

 
9781780744070: How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everybody

Synopsis

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase ‘winning streaks’ that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be.

In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase ‘representativeness’ to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You’ll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

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À propos de l?auteur

William Poundstone is the author of seventeen books including How to Predict Everything, How to Predict the Unpredictable and Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google? He has written for the Economist, New York Times, Harper’s and Harvard Business Review, among others. You can find out more about him on his website: william-poundstone.com

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Autres éditions populaires du même titre

9781780747200: How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone

Edition présentée

ISBN 10 :  1780747209 ISBN 13 :  9781780747200
Editeur : Oneworld Publications, 2015
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