Twice as Long: Why Deadlines, Budgets, and Timelines Always Fail-And the One Tool to Fix Them - Couverture souple

Name: Twice as Long: Why Deadlines, Budgets, and Timelines Always Fail-And the One Tool to Fix Them
Author: Blackwood, Simon
ISBN: 9781804282137

Blackwood, Simon

9781804282137: Twice as Long: Why Deadlines, Budgets, and Timelines Always Fail-And the One Tool to Fix Them

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ISBN 10 : 1804282138 ISBN 13 : 9781804282137

Editeur : Readers First Publishing Ltd, 2026

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D�tails de l'�dition

�diteur: Readers First Publishing Ltd
Date d'�dition: 2026
Langue: anglais
ISBN 10: 1804282138
ISBN 13: 9781804282137
Reliure: Broch�
Nombre de pages: 174
Coordonn�es du fabricant: non disponible
Personne responsable: gpsr@libri.de
gpsr@libri.de

Europaallee 1
Bad Hersfeld
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Allemagne

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Twice as Long (Paperback)

Simon Blackwood

Edit� par Readers First Publishing Ltd, 2026

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Paperback. Etat : new. Paperback. Your last "six-month project" probably took eighteen months, and the pattern isn't bad luck-it's the planningfallacy, a systematic bias where competent people underestimate their own timelines even when they know theerror by name. Part of The Bias Files, Simon Blackwood's insightful book explores why informed professionalsconsistently miss deadlines, blow budgets, and underestimate failure probability in their own plans-even afterstudying the exact cognitive trap they are about to repeat.This is not a productivity system, a project management framework, or a guide to "realistic thinking." It is adocumented investigation of one repeating error across eight real-world domains, showing why optimisticforecasting survives experience, expertise, and direct statistical warning.Through documented cases and composite scenarios, you will see the recurring mechanisms that drive timelinefailure: - The Ten-Year Overrun: Why the Sydney Opera House, budgeted at 7 million dollars and four years, ultimately cost fourteen times the estimate and took a decade-not from dishonesty, but from productionmethods that made the original figures nearly useless the moment construction began.- The Book That Was Due Last Spring: How a novelist who finished her first book in two yearsconfidently promises twelve months for her second and delivers in twenty-six, despite knowing her ownworking rhythm, tracking her historical pace, and having sketched an evenly divided chapter-by-chapterplan.- The Founder's Launch Date: Why Boeing's 787 Dreamliner missed its 2008 delivery target by more thanthree years, following a sequence of delays across a distributed supply chain where every major contractorunderestimated assembly complexity at their own production node. Twice as Long explores the psychology of the planning fallacy and systematic timeline overconfidence. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. N� de r�f. du vendeur 9781804282137

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Twice as Long

Blackwood, Simon

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Twice as Long

Simon Blackwood

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Twice as Long: Why Deadlines, Budgets, and Timelines Always Fail-And the One Tool to Fix Them

Blackwood, Simon

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Twice as Long

Blackwood, Simon

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Twice as Long (Paperback)

Simon Blackwood

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Paperback. Etat : new. Paperback. Your last "six-month project" probably took eighteen months, and the pattern isn't bad luck-it's the planningfallacy, a systematic bias where competent people underestimate their own timelines even when they know theerror by name. Part of The Bias Files, Simon Blackwood's insightful book explores why informed professionalsconsistently miss deadlines, blow budgets, and underestimate failure probability in their own plans-even afterstudying the exact cognitive trap they are about to repeat.This is not a productivity system, a project management framework, or a guide to "realistic thinking." It is adocumented investigation of one repeating error across eight real-world domains, showing why optimisticforecasting survives experience, expertise, and direct statistical warning.Through documented cases and composite scenarios, you will see the recurring mechanisms that drive timelinefailure: - The Ten-Year Overrun: Why the Sydney Opera House, budgeted at 7 million dollars and four years, ultimately cost fourteen times the estimate and took a decade-not from dishonesty, but from productionmethods that made the original figures nearly useless the moment construction began.- The Book That Was Due Last Spring: How a novelist who finished her first book in two yearsconfidently promises twelve months for her second and delivers in twenty-six, despite knowing her ownworking rhythm, tracking her historical pace, and having sketched an evenly divided chapter-by-chapterplan.- The Founder's Launch Date: Why Boeing's 787 Dreamliner missed its 2008 delivery target by more thanthree years, following a sequence of delays across a distributed supply chain where every major contractorunderestimated assembly complexity at their own production node. Twice as Long explores the psychology of the planning fallacy and systematic timeline overconfidence. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our Sydney, NSW warehouse or from our UK or US warehouse, depending on stock availability. N� de r�f. du vendeur 9781804282137

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Twice as Long : Why Deadlines, Budgets, and Timelines Always Fail-And the One Tool to Fix Them

Simon Blackwood

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ISBN 10 : 1804282138 ISBN 13 : 9781804282137

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Taschenbuch. Etat : Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - Your last 'six-month project' probably took eighteen months, and the pattern isn't bad luck-it's the planningfallacy, a systematic bias where competent people underestimate their own timelines even when they know theerror by name. Part of The Bias Files, Simon Blackwood's insightful book explores why informed professionalsconsistently miss deadlines, blow budgets, and underestimate failure probability in their own plans-even afterstudying the exact cognitive trap they are about to repeat.This is not a productivity system, a project management framework, or a guide to 'realistic thinking.' It is adocumented investigation of one repeating error across eight real-world domains, showing why optimisticforecasting survives experience, expertise, and direct statistical warning.Through documented cases and composite scenarios, you will see the recurring mechanisms that drive timelinefailure: - The Ten-Year Overrun: Why the Sydney Opera House, budgeted at 7 million dollars and four years, ultimately cost fourteen times the estimate and took a decade-not from dishonesty, but from productionmethods that made the original figures nearly useless the moment construction began.- The Book That Was Due Last Spring: How a novelist who finished her first book in two yearsconfidently promises twelve months for her second and delivers in twenty-six, despite knowing her ownworking rhythm, tracking her historical pace, and having sketched an evenly divided chapter-by-chapterplan.- The Founder's Launch Date: Why Boeing's 787 Dreamliner missed its 2008 delivery target by more thanthree years, following a sequence of delays across a distributed supply chain where every major contractorunderestimated assembly complexity at their own production node. N� de r�f. du vendeur 9781804282137

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Twice as Long (Paperback)

Simon Blackwood

Edit� par Readers First Publishing Ltd, 2026

ISBN 10 : 1804282138 ISBN 13 : 9781804282137

Neuf Paperback

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Vendeur : CitiRetail, Stevenage, Royaume-Uni

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Paperback. Etat : new. Paperback. Your last "six-month project" probably took eighteen months, and the pattern isn't bad luck-it's the planningfallacy, a systematic bias where competent people underestimate their own timelines even when they know theerror by name. Part of The Bias Files, Simon Blackwood's insightful book explores why informed professionalsconsistently miss deadlines, blow budgets, and underestimate failure probability in their own plans-even afterstudying the exact cognitive trap they are about to repeat.This is not a productivity system, a project management framework, or a guide to "realistic thinking." It is adocumented investigation of one repeating error across eight real-world domains, showing why optimisticforecasting survives experience, expertise, and direct statistical warning.Through documented cases and composite scenarios, you will see the recurring mechanisms that drive timelinefailure: - The Ten-Year Overrun: Why the Sydney Opera House, budgeted at 7 million dollars and four years, ultimately cost fourteen times the estimate and took a decade-not from dishonesty, but from productionmethods that made the original figures nearly useless the moment construction began.- The Book That Was Due Last Spring: How a novelist who finished her first book in two yearsconfidently promises twelve months for her second and delivers in twenty-six, despite knowing her ownworking rhythm, tracking her historical pace, and having sketched an evenly divided chapter-by-chapterplan.- The Founder's Launch Date: Why Boeing's 787 Dreamliner missed its 2008 delivery target by more thanthree years, following a sequence of delays across a distributed supply chain where every major contractorunderestimated assembly complexity at their own production node. Twice as Long explores the psychology of the planning fallacy and systematic timeline overconfidence. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability. N� de r�f. du vendeur 9781804282137

Contacter le vendeur