Dance With Chance: Harnessing the Power of Luck - Couverture souple

Makridakis, Spyros G.; Gaba, Anil; Hogarth, Robin

Couverture souple

ISBN 10 : 1851686533 ISBN 13 : 9781851686537

Editeur : Oneworld Publications, 2009

Synopsis

9/11 saw the deaths of almost 3,000 people. However, an additional 5,000 US citizens died in the subsequent year as a direct result. These weren't killed by terrorists and they weren't war casualties. They were killed in car accidents caused by the shift to road travel from the relative safety of planes. This is a classic example of 'the illusion of control' with devastating consequences. We don't like uncertainty, and we don't know how to deal with it. So, we pretend that we can outwit it."Dance with Chance" explores how luck operates in all aspects of human endeavour. It is a gripping tale of how even experts misread the role of chance - from the stock market to doctors' surgeries - it examines the limits of predictability and demonstrates how, by abandoning the illusion of control, we can regain power over our future. From warning against health screenings to invaluable investment strategies, "Dance with Chance" is revolutionary. It not only provides fascinating analysis, but also the practical advice needed to leave you healthier, happier, wealthier and more successful.

A propos du livre

À propos de l?auteur

Spyros Makridakis is Professor Emeritus at INSEAD, France, and a former Olympian. He is the author of Forecasting Methods for Management, which has sold over 120,000 copies worldwide. Robin M. Hogarth is ICREA Research Professor at Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain. He is President of the European Association for Decision Making. Anil Gaba is the ORPAR Chaired Professor of Risk Management and Dean of Faculty at INSEAD, Singapore, one of the world's leading business schools.

Détails de l'édition

• Éditeur: Oneworld Publications
• Date d'édition: 2009
• Langue: anglais
• ISBN 10: 1851686533
• ISBN 13: 9781851686537
• Reliure: Broché
• Nombre de pages: 336
• Coordonnées du fabricant: non disponible
• Personne responsable: non disponible