Synopsis
For the first time in recorded history, humanity is shrinking. Fertility rates are collapsing worldwide, even in countries long considered immune to the trend. The population peak is closer than anyone expected, and in most industrialized countries, the descent has already begun.
In The End of Population Growth, Ugo Bardi brings the systems-dynamics approach pioneered by The Limits to Growth into the 21st century, with new data, new models, and a frank assessment of what comes next. Aging societies, crumbling pensions, mass migration, abandoned infrastructure — the turbulence ahead is real. So is the opportunity: fewer people means less pressure on a planet already strained to its limits.
But the transition will not manage itself. This book is a guide to navigating terrain no civilization has crossed before. The End of Population Growth combines data, historical perspective, biological insight, and the same modeling philosophy that made The Limits to Growth a scientific milestone. This book can tell us how to face the unfamiliar landscape of a shrinking humanity.
"This book provides useful information and perspectives on the existential issue of our day - managing the globe's peaceful transition from population growth to decline." Dennis Meadows, lead author of "The Limits to Growth," 1972.-
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The End of Population Growth
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The End of Population Growth (Paperback or Softback)
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Club of Rome 2/9/2026, 2026
ISBN 10 : 3033118887
ISBN 13 : 9783033118881
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Paperback or Softback. Etat : New. The End of Population Growth. Book. N° de réf. du vendeur BBS-9783033118881
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The End of Population Growth: Reaching Humankind's Planetary Limits
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The End of Population Growth
Edité par
Club of Rome, 2026
ISBN 10 : 3033118887
ISBN 13 : 9783033118881
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The End of Population Growth
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The End of Population Growth (Paperback)
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Paperback. Etat : new. Paperback. Today, we are close to the critical moment when conventional economic growth becomes impossible on a finite planet, constrained by two parallel factors: resource depletion and pollution. Tthe depletion of fossil fuels and other mineral commodities is placing heavy constraints on both industrial and agricultural production. We are not running out of anything yet, but the cost of extraction is increasing, just as the damage that extraction causes to the ecosystem. On the other side, pollution is appearing in more than one form. Chemical pollution is growing in terms of heavy metals, endocrine-disruptors, and other poisoning substances, while climate change can be seen as another form of pollution generated by the excess of CO2 in the atmosphere. These constraints are slowing down economic growth and, eventually, the population trend will be affected, too and models based on the method called "system dynamics" show that a population decline should start during the first half of the 20th century. We are already seeing it in several industrialized countries, while traditional agriculture-based countries are moving in the same direction.The upcoming population decline is not necessarily a bad thing. It is expected to lead to a lower demand for dwindling natural resources, lower emissions, and, hence, lower pollution. In general, a population decline will lead to a lower degree of stress on a badly overexploited ecosystem, including Earth's climate. Fewer people may also mean fewer wars because there will be no more growing populations in search of living space. However, population reduction may also bring enormous problems in terms of maintaining the structure of a society that so far has taken economic growth for granted. Shrinking may be so fast that it could bring about the collapse of some expensive structures that have been built over the centuries, such as public education systems, public health care, and scientific research. During the transition phase, society will necessarily consist of an increasing fraction of elderly people, who may become a heavy burden for the young. In addition, the growing population in some African countries may lead to a global imbalance, with a trend of emigration toward regions whose population is declining. That may also lead to social and military conflicts.This book is an attempt to evaluate current trends and project them into the future on the basis of existing data and models. You will find in it a broad sweep of the trends and problems of the human population. It discusses the subject on the basis of more than one viewpoint: biological, historical, economic, and social factors are all considered. In particular, it is based on the previous experience of the Club of Rome examining global problems from a systems dynamics perspective, on the basis of models, but also in terms of qualitative interpretations. It is the approach that was used more than 50 years ago for the Limits to Growth report, and that led to fundamental insights into the trends of human civilization. This book describes how the world's human population is expected to start declining during the coming decades. The consequences are not necessarily negative, but will have to be carefully managed to avoid serious problems. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. N° de réf. du vendeur 9783033118881
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The End of Population Growth
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The End of Population Growth
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The End of Population Growth: Reaching Humankind's Planetary Limits
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