Dependability Modelling Under Uncertainty: An Imprecise Probabilistic Approach - Couverture rigide

Limbourg, Philipp

 
9783540692867: Dependability Modelling Under Uncertainty: An Imprecise Probabilistic Approach

Synopsis

This work introduces new uncertainty-preserving dependability methods for early design stages. It is further shown that Dempster-Shafer theory can be an alternative to probability theory in early design stage dependability predictions.

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Présentation de l'éditeur

Mechatronic design processes have become shorter and more parallelized, induced by growing time-to-market pressure. Methods that enable quantitative analysis in early design stages are required, should dependability analyses aim to influence the design. Due to the limited amount of data in this phase, the level of uncertainty is high and explicit modeling of these uncertainties becomes necessary. This work introduces new uncertainty-preserving dependability methods for early design stages. These include the propagation of uncertainty through dependability models, the activation of data from similar components for analyses and the integration of uncertain dependability predictions into an optimization framework. It is shown that Dempster-Shafer theory can be an alternative to probability theory in early design stage dependability predictions. Expert estimates can be represented, input uncertainty is propagated through the system and prediction uncertainty can be measured and interpreted. The resulting coherent methodology can be applied to represent the uncertainty in dependability models.

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Autres éditions populaires du même titre

9783642088803: Dependability Modelling under Uncertainty: An Imprecise Probabilistic Approach

Edition présentée

ISBN 10 :  3642088805 ISBN 13 :  9783642088803
Editeur : Springer, 2010
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