Statistical Modelling of Reported HIV Cases in Nepal - Couverture souple

Sathian, Brijesh; Sreedharan, Jayadevan; Devkota, Suresh

 
9783659383519: Statistical Modelling of Reported HIV Cases in Nepal
Couverture souple
ISBN 10 : 3659383511 ISBN 13 : 9783659383519
Editeur : LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2013

Synopsis

The real state about the spread of the HIV epidemic in Nepal is not clear since the details available are on the basis of risk group. The objective of the study is to extract as much as information possible from available data and find out the trends of HIV cases in future. A retrospective study was carried out on the data collected from the Health ministry records of Nepal, between 1988 and 2004. Descriptive statistics and statistical modelling were used for the analysis and forecasting of data. Excluding the constant term from the equation, the cubic model was the best fit, for the forecasting of HIV cases. NCASC reported cumulative number of HIV cases up to 2009 differs from our projected cases by 46 (99.99% accuracy in prediction). Using cubic equation, it is estimated that 4773 males, 2163 females and 6936 total reported number of HIV cases will be there in Nepal by the year 2015. The HIV cases in Nepal are having an increasing trend.

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Présentation de l'éditeur

The real state about the spread of the HIV epidemic in Nepal is not clear since the details available are on the basis of risk group. The objective of the study is to extract as much as information possible from available data and find out the trends of HIV cases in future. A retrospective study was carried out on the data collected from the Health ministry records of Nepal, between 1988 and 2004. Descriptive statistics and statistical modelling were used for the analysis and forecasting of data. Excluding the constant term from the equation, the cubic model was the best fit, for the forecasting of HIV cases. NCASC reported cumulative number of HIV cases up to 2009 differs from our projected cases by 46 (99.99% accuracy in prediction). Using cubic equation, it is estimated that 4773 males, 2163 females and 6936 total reported number of HIV cases will be there in Nepal by the year 2015. The HIV cases in Nepal are having an increasing trend.

Biographie de l'auteur

I have a PhD in Statistical Modelling. I am currently working as a Assistant Professor in Community Medicine, Manipal College of Medical Sciences, Nepal. I have keen interest in organizing conferences and working as editorial board member of Medical Journals. I am also the President of Confederation of Epidemiological Associations (CEA)& INEA.

Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

Éditeur
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing
Date d'édition
2013
Langue
anglais
ISBN 10 
3659383511
ISBN 13 
9783659383519
Reliure
Broché
Nombre de pages
64
Coordonnées du fabricant
non disponible
Personne responsable
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