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Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones - Couverture souple

Suzuki-Parker, Asuka

 
9783662508725: Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones
Couverture souple
ISBN 10 : 3662508729 ISBN 13 : 9783662508725
Editeur : Springer, 2016

Synopsis

The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting and
tracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach to
enable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.
The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropical
cyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice of
selection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time were
relatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to future
assessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.
The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches to
statistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regional
climate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.
Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method of
determining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are most
vulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptation
strategies.

Les informations fournies dans la section « Synopsis » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

Présentation de l'éditeur

This two-pronged research paper details a new approach to detecting and tracking extreme weather in climate models as well as applying an extreme-value statistical model to facilitate modeling assessment of possible changes in severe weather patterns.

Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.

Éditeur
Springer
Date d'édition
2016
Langue
anglais
ISBN 10 
3662508729
ISBN 13 
9783662508725
Reliure
Broché
Nombre de pages
92
Coordonnées du fabricant
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Autres éditions populaires du même titre

9783642250286: Uncertainties and Limitations in Simulating Tropical Cyclones

Edition présentée

ISBN 10 :  3642250289 ISBN 13 :  9783642250286
Editeur : Springer, 2012
Couverture rigide