This two-pronged research paper details a new approach to detecting and tracking extreme weather in climate models as well as applying an extreme-value statistical model to facilitate modeling assessment of possible changes in severe weather patterns.
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This two-pronged research paper details a new approach to detecting and tracking extreme weather in climate models as well as applying an extreme-value statistical model to facilitate modeling assessment of possible changes in severe weather patterns.
Les informations fournies dans la section « A propos du livre » peuvent faire référence à une autre édition de ce titre.
Vendeur : Brook Bookstore On Demand, Napoli, NA, Italie
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Taschenbuch. Etat : Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting andtracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach toenable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropicalcyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice ofselection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time wererelatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to futureassessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches tostatistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regionalclimate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method ofdetermining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are mostvulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptationstrategies. 92 pp. Englisch. N° de réf. du vendeur 9783662508725
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Etat : New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Nominated by the Georgia Univesity of Technology for a Springer Theses Prize This work investigates how tropical cyclone intensity will change over the next 50 years - a question of high interest to industrial and governmental communities Ne. N° de réf. du vendeur 449137531
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Etat : New. pp. 92. N° de réf. du vendeur 26375296469
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Taschenbuch. Etat : Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting andtracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach toenable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropicalcyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice ofselection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time wererelatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to futureassessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches tostatistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regionalclimate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method ofdetermining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are mostvulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptationstrategies.Springer-Verlag KG, Sachsenplatz 4-6, 1201 Wien 92 pp. Englisch. N° de réf. du vendeur 9783662508725
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Taschenbuch. Etat : Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - The thesis work was in two major parts: development and testing of a new approach to detecting andtracking tropical cyclones in climate models; and application of an extreme value statistical approach toenable assessment of changes in weather extremes from climate models.The tracking algorithm applied a creative phase-space approach to differentiate between modeled tropicalcyclones and their mid-latitude cousins. A feature here was the careful attention to sensitivity to choice ofselection parameters, which is considerable. The major finding was that the changes over time wererelatively insensitive to these details. This new approach will improve and add confidence to futureassessments of climate impacts on hurricanes.The extremes approach utilized the Generalized Pareto Distribution (one of the standard approaches tostatistics of extremes) applied to present and future hurricane distributions as modeled by a regionalclimate model, then applied the changes to current observations to extract the changes in the extremes.Since climate models cannot resolve these extremes directly, this provides an excellent method ofdetermining weather extremes in general. This is of considerable societal importance as we are mostvulnerable to such extremes and knowledge of their changes enables improved planning and adaptationstrategies. N° de réf. du vendeur 9783662508725
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