Articles liés à PREDICTING THE PANDEMIC SHOCK:: A GEOPOLITICAL-FINANCIAL...

PREDICTING THE PANDEMIC SHOCK:: A GEOPOLITICAL-FINANCIAL COMPOSITE INDEX FOR EARLY WARNING AND MITIGATION OF CRITICAL MEDICAL SUPPLY STOCK-OUTS - Couverture souple

OMOTOSHO, Olamide

 
9786209480669: PREDICTING THE PANDEMIC SHOCK:: A GEOPOLITICAL-FINANCIAL COMPOSITE INDEX FOR EARLY WARNING AND MITIGATION OF CRITICAL MEDICAL SUPPLY STOCK-OUTS
Couverture souple
ISBN 10 : 6209480667 ISBN 13 : 9786209480669
Editeur : LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2025

Synopsis

This research tackles a key weakness in global medical supply chains revealed by the COVID-19 pandemic. It creates a new Geopolitical-Financial Composite Index (GFCI) to act as an early-warning system. The study moves past old, reactive models by combining different risk indicators like political instability, financial swings, trade policy changes, and shipping performance into a single score. We built this index using principal component analysis and tested its accuracy against real data from the 2020-2023 crisis period. The results show the GFCI reliably signals coming shortages of medical supplies about three months in advance. This was confirmed by strong statistical correlations and ROC analysis. The final output is a practical Early-Warning and Mitigation Framework that turns GFCI alerts into specific actions, like finding new suppliers or building up reserves. This work provides policymakers and health organizations with a proactive, data-driven tool to build stronger supply chains and better prepare for future pandemics.

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Éditeur
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing
Date d'édition
2025
Langue
anglais
ISBN 10 
6209480667
ISBN 13 
9786209480669
Reliure
Broché
Nombre de pages
52
Coordonnées du fabricant
non disponible
Personne responsable
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