Somewhere tonight, a founder is choosing which model to build on. A researcher is deciding which country to call home. A committee is deciding which chip gets a license. None of them think they're making history.
That's exactly how America lost its manufacturing base to China — not in one dramatic collapse, but in ten thousand small, reasonable decisions that added up to something no one voted for.
The Silicon Handoff asks the question no one in Washington or Silicon Valley wants to sit with: is artificial intelligence next?
Robert F. Geissler traces the exact mechanisms — compute, talent, open-weight models, capital flight — through which American AI leadership could quietly change hands, the way American steel and electronics did a generation ago. He builds the case with the same rigor he brings to economics education worldwide, then does something most books like this won't: he argues just as hard against his own thesis, testing it against the false alarms of Sputnik, Japan Inc., and the 1980s semiconductor scare.
The result isn't a prediction. It's a decision window — and a clear-eyed look at what's still ours to lose.
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