Since February 24th, 2022, the global order has been in upheaval. The notion has emerged that a large-scale war is not only possible but imminent—one that involves more than ideological and economic battles, extending to columns of tanks, missile barrages, trenches, and tens of thousands of casualties. Additionally, significant geostrategic shifts appear to signal further confrontations on the horizon.
Philippe Fabry is among the few intellectuals who anticipated the resurgence of war between industrialized nations, particularly Russia's invasion of Ukraine. He discussed this as early as January 2019 in an article on his blog. This foresight was not the result of innate talent but rather the application of a specific tool: the research and analysis of historical patterns. These patterns allow us to construct models that identify underlying trends, which, in turn, influence nations and dictate the actions of their leaders.
Since deciding to invade Ukraine, Vladimir Putin has often been likened to Hitler, who represents the epitome of brutal imperialism in Western culture. Is this comparison justified, and if so, to what extent? Can it be extended to other historical figures?
This book addresses these questions and argues that there are sufficient examples to construct a model capable of predicting future developments in the ongoing global geostrategic confrontation—a confrontation that is shaping a new world order.
Philippe Fabry is an innovative thinker and historian specializing in the history of law, institutions, and political ideas. He has authored books on historical theory and forecasting, applying his methodologies to explore political phenomena such as the rise of parliamentary nation-states and revolutionary movements. In this new book, he delves into the emergence of what he terms "revanchist imperialists."
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