Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment : A Practitioner's Guidebook

Curtis Smith

ISBN 10: 1447127080 / ISBN 13: 9781447127086

Edité par Springer London, Springer London, 2013

A propos de cet article

Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software. This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described. A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic selection of an appropriate MCMC sampling scheme for a given problem. The authors provide analysis 'building blocks' that can be modified, combined, or used as-is to solve a variety of challenging problems.The MCMC approach used is implemented via textual scripts similar to a macro-type programming language. Accompanying most scripts is a graphical Bayesian network illustrating the elements of the script and the overall inference problem being solved. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment also covers the important topics of MCMC convergence and Bayesian model checking.Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment is aimed at scientists and engineers who perform or review risk analyses. It provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models.

N° de réf. du vendeur 9781447127086

Détails bibliographiques

• Titre: Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment : A Practitioner's Guidebook
• Éditeur: Springer London, Springer London
• Date de parution: 2013
• Langue: anglais
• ISBN à 10 chiffres: 1447127080
• ISBN à 13 chiffres: 9781447127086
• Reliure: Taschenbuch
• État de l'article: Neu
• Dimensions: 235 L x 155 H x 14 P (en millimètres) 235 millimètres de largeur par 155 millimètres de hauteur par 14 millimètres de profondeur
• Poids: 371 grammes

A propos de ce titre

Synopsis

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software. This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described. A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic selection of an appropriate MCMC sampling scheme for a given problem. The authors provide analysis “building blocks” that can be modified, combined, or used as-is to solve a variety of challenging problems.

The MCMC approach used is implemented via textual scripts similar to a macro-type programming language. Accompanying most scripts is a graphical Bayesian network illustrating the elements of the script and the overall inference problem being solved. Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment also covers the important topics of MCMC convergence and Bayesian model checking.

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment is aimed at scientists and engineers who perform or review risk analyses. It provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models.

Présentation de l'éditeur

This book synthesizes significant recent advances in the use of risk analysis in many government agencies and private corporations, providing a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems.