Inference & Disputed Authorship: The Federalist

Mosteller, Frederick and Wallace, David L.

Edité par Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Inc, Reading, MA, 1964

A propos de cet article

xv, [1], 287, [1] pages. Figures. Formulas. Tables. Appendix. References. Index. DJ has wear, tears, chips, scuff, and some soiling. Inscribed by one of the authors (Mosteller) on the fep. The inscription reads To Michael Stoto with administration and affections, looking forward to further collaboration. Frederick Mosteller Christmas 1980. This is one of the Addison-Wesley Series In Behavioral Science: Quantitative Methods. Charles Frederick Mosteller (December 24, 1916 - July 23, 2006) was an American mathematician, considered one of the most eminent statisticians of the 20th century. He was the founding chairman of Harvard's statistics department from 1957 to 1971, and served as the president of several professional bodies including the Psychometric Society, the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the International Statistical Institute. With David Wallace Mosteller studied the attribution problem that asks who wrote each of the disputed Federalist Papers, James Madison or Alexander Hamilton. This analysis was carried out in order to demonstrate the power of Bayesian inference, and for that time was computationally intensive. It was featured in Time magazine on September 21, 1962. Michael Stoto is believed to be the biostatistian, epidemiologist, statistician, and health policy analyst in Harvard's T. H. Chan School of Public Health. Historians had puzzled over the authorship of 12 of the 85 Federalist Papers almost since they were written in 1788. Wallace and Prof. Frederick Mosteller of Harvard University applied statistical analysis and computational power to the problem, publishing their answer in 1964's Inference & Disputed Authorship: The Federalist. Their findingsâ "that James Madison authored all 12â "created a national stir, both for the answer and for how they put computers to work to arrive at it. Newspapers around the country, The New York Times and Chicago Tribune among them, wrote about Wallace and Mosteller, as did Time magazine. Much of the news coverage on the Federalist Papers focused on their early application of computational power to statistics, an area in which Wallace would remain influential. But their work also was the first full-scale applied statistical analysis done using Bayesian methodsâ "statistical theory based on the work of statistician Thomas Bayes. "David Wallace's study of the authorship of the Federalist Papers still stands among the best full-scale Bayesian statistical studies, and it has left a mark even as the profession has advanced, as an exemplar of what can be accomplished," said Stephen M. Stigler, the Ernest DeWitt Burton Distinguished Service Professor at the University of Chicago. "As a teacher and colleague he has shared deep insights into statistical methods, and those lessons are still being widely repeated several academic generations later." Wallace also was part of a team that in the 1960s helped develop modern methods of forecasting election outcomes based on early results, and worked as part of NBC's election coverage. Wallace joined the University in 1954 as an assistant professor. He remained at the University of Chicago until he retired in 1995, serving as chairman of the department from 1977 to 1980.

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Détails bibliographiques

• Titre: Inference & Disputed Authorship: The Federalist
• Éditeur: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company, Inc, Reading, MA
• Date de parution: 1964
• Reliure: Hardcover
• Édition: Presumed First Edition, First printing.
• État de l'article: Good
• État de la jaquette: Good
• Signé: Signé par l'auteur